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The Science Behind the Tribe: Wish, Obstacle, Plan: What the Studies Found. Across 21 studies, pairing a wish with its obstacle and an if-then plan had a small-to-medium effect on reaching goals, possibly smaller given publication bias.

Journey 8 · Abundance

Wish, Obstacle, Plan: What the Studies Found

Across 21 studies, pairing a wish with its obstacle and an if-then plan had a small-to-medium effect on reaching goals, possibly smaller given publication bias.

The method: name a wish, picture its outcome, name the inner obstacle, then make an if-then plan. Across 21 studies it had a small-to-medium effect on goal attainment, possibly smaller given publication bias (Wang, Wang & Gai, 2021). In one trial of 256 women, those who also learned it reported being about twice as active over four months as women given health information alone (Stadler, Oettingen & Gollwitzer, 2009).

In a separate review, if-then plans on their own showed a medium-to-large average effect (Gollwitzer & Sheeran, 2006). The two reviews covered different studies, so the sizes are not a head-to-head comparison. None of this guarantees a goal. It means the plan is built for the real moment, obstacle included, not only the hopeful one.

In its final session, Journey 8, Abundance, uses WOOP: Wish, Outcome, Obstacle, Plan. You build the plan yourself and turn it into a two-minute if-then hung on something you already do. Each repetition is a small, lived proof against ‘there’s not enough.’ What obstacle would you name first?

The research

Strong evidence Replicated findings and meta-analyses.

  1. Wang, G., Wang, Y., & Gai, X. (2021). A meta-analysis of the effects of mental contrasting with implementation intentions on goal attainment. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 565202.
  2. Stadler, G., Oettingen, G., & Gollwitzer, P. M. (2009). Physical activity in women: Effects of a self-regulation intervention. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 36(1), 29–34.
  3. Gollwitzer, P. M., & Sheeran, P. (2006). Implementation intentions and goal achievement: A meta-analysis of effects and processes. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, 38, 69–119.

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More science from Abundance

What 259 Samples Say About Materialism. Across 259 samples, stronger materialistic values went with modestly lower well-being, though the data are correlational and can’t show which comes first.Worry and the Mind’s Working Space. Across 177 samples and 22,061 people, higher self-reported anxiety went with somewhat poorer performance on working-memory tasks, a link averaged across many studies.In One Study, Picturing the Steps Beat Picturing the Prize. Students who pictured how they’d study did more of it and got better grades; in other studies, rosy fantasies of the future went with less effort and worse results.
All of the science behind the 12 Journeys →